Until the lion learns to speak, the tale of the hunt will
always glorify the hunter. The truth of this statement is today being
demonstrated in the aftermath of the devastating attack by the Al Shabaab terror
group on the AMISOM base at El Adde in southern Somalia.
With over Kenyan 100 troops feared dead, this is turning out
to be not just a tactical victory, but a propaganda coup as well for the Al
Qaeda linked militants. Panicked Generals in both AMISOM and the KDF have
effectively shut down their public communications, effectively handing the
airwaves to the enemy. And Al Shabaab has not been slow to exploit this
opportunity. For nearly a week its tale of the hunt has been propagated around
the world pretty much unchallenged.
The modern media operation is a 24-hour beast that needs to
be fed round the clock. National and international mass media is the most
important disseminator of news for the vast majority of people and what it
carries shapes opinions and influences decisions. It is for this reason that
terrorists make every effort to maximize coverage of their attacks.
And perceptions do matter. Especially in war, which the
great Prussian general and military theorist, Carl von Clausewitz
described as “the continuation of politics by other means.” Politics, as is
readily apparent, is a game of perceptions and opinions. To a great extent, wars
are too. They end when the losing side acknowledges it cannot win (except on
the rare occasion when it is entirely eliminated).
So war itself can be seen a great communications effort,
albeit one where the message is transmitted via bombs and bullets. Sun Tzu’s advice
that “victorious warriors win first and then go to war” can be paraphrased
thus: “Win first, then go tell your opponent about it.”
In today’s world, the fight against the terrorists is not
only waged on the ground, but on newspaper pages, TV and radio broadcasts and on
internet as well. This is especially true of the struggle against Al Shabaab.
Most Kenyans tend to mistakenly think of the group as a
rag-tag militia with little in the way of effective organisation. In reality,
Al Shabaab is well organized and resourced, and what it lacks in tanks and
armour it makes up in communications capabilities. It has established a media department which is
adept at producing slick propaganda videos and churning out pictures and
footage to feed the media beast with its version of events.
Now, it is true that wars are not won by press releases. But
it would be a great mistake to conclude that effective communications don’t
matter. In its first three years, AMISOM struggled to find its voice. Its tale
was told by others, including by its enemies and detractors. As a result, it
struggled to convince Somalians of its intentions, to get countries to deploy
troops and to articulate its need for more and better equipment. By 2010, there
was talk of “constructive disengagement” and winding up the “failing mission”.
It was in recognition of this, and at the request of the AU,
that in 2009 the UN provided AMISOM with a team of civilian communications
consultants as part of a wider logistical support package. I was a part of this
team, which is based in Mogadishu, for nearly four years and witnessed
fist-hand how well-executed communications strategies made AMISOM more
effective on the ground.
From countering Al Shabaab propaganda to explaining its
mandate and operations to a sceptical international audience to communicating
successes on the ground, AMISOM became more adept at influencing local and
international perceptions and managed to turn its reputation around. By the end
of 2012 this effort- combined with the success its troops delivered on the
ground- had countries competing to contribute troops and the UN Security
Council voting to beef up its support for the Mission.
One of the many important lessons I learnt is that to
compete effectively in the media arena, one has to be fast, first and provide
accurate facts. Even, and perhaps especially, when it was bad news, you would
rather the public heard it from you and not from the other side. It is a race
to get your side of the story out first and to control the narrative. Another lesson
was the critical need always to preserve your credibility by never putting out
information that one knows to false.
On both these counts, the Kenyan Government has performed
poorly. AMISOM has a long standing policy of letting its troop contributing
countries speak on casualties and so its silence is somewhat understandable.
The Kenyan state and its defence forces, on the other hand, has worked to
prevent any details on the operation leaking out, including by prosecuting
people who forwarded purported pictures of the dead Kenyan soldiers issued by
Al Shabaab. It has also now provided a provisional version of events via the
Chief of Defence Forces, Gen Samson Mwathethe, elements of which not only
contradict its earlier statements, but also fly in the face of the few facts
that have already been established.
This sadly fits into pattern that the Government has followed
whenever confronted with failure. It has done little to shore up its
credibility in speaking on matters security since the Westgate disaster. It has
tried to impose its “Official Truth” and refused to address any holes in yarn
that it has spun. More than two years later, there has been no credible
official account of what happened inside that mall for four days. It is a
curious position for a government famous for its formidable public relations machine
to be in.
Regardless, it is clear that we can ill afford to cede the
media space to Al Shabaab without a fight. Our lion must learn to speak.
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